Factors Favorable For Warm Season / Convective Flash Flooding

  • Strong low-level jet (>30 (20) kts) / θe advection.

  • Weak mid-level winds / weak mid-level shear.

  • Deep warm cloud layer (greater than 3 km).

  • Moderate – high "skinny" CAPE south of the heavy rain (NCAPE < 0.10).

  • Precipitable Water > 130 percent of normal.

  • Weak short-wave trof upstream of heavy rain.

  • Upper-level divergence / jet entrance region.

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