Eta BUFKIT 8-hour forecast sounding at AVP valid 14 UTC 11/25.

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Speaker Notes:

This slide shows a depiction of the surface boundary speed. Using an estimate of a west to east moving front at about 18 m/s (36 kts; the white line) indicates that right moving storms would remain close to the boundary as it moves east. The deep-layer shear vector (not shown) is from the southwest, or at about a 45 degree angle vs. the north-south cold frontal boundary.