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Summary… Key features associated with the Valentines Day snowstorm
Miller type B development.
Well-forecast mid-level warm layer across northeast Pa resulted in several hours of heavy sleet in that area.
Primary forcing at the onset of the storm was isentropic lift and frontogenesis associated with a strong low-level jet.
Lift intensified when upper-level forcing associated with the upper-wave became juxtaposed with the lower-level frontogenesis.
Classic intense banding features forecast – frontogenesis, intense lift and deep layers of negative EPV*.