SREF probability of snow – 12/11 09z run
Notes:
SREF probabilities from the run at 09z on the 11th, still indicated little chance of snow anywhere in New York state through 18z on the 11th. A band of enhanced probability of snow developed over central New York by 00z on the 11th. The probability for snow became very high over central New York and northwest Pennsylvania by 06z on the 12th. The band of high probabilities began to drift east by 12z on the 12th. Overall, these plots indicate high probabilities of snow persisting for several hours from north central Pennsylvania through the Finger Lakes to the western Adirondacks during the storm.
Slide 20
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