December 16 – temperature of the warm layer aloft at AVP
Notes:
The data on the next several slides compares 12-24 hour NAM and GFS forecast warm layer maximum temperatures to RUC analysis warm layer maximum temperatures at 03z, 06z, 09z and 12z on the 16th. The data on this slide shows that comparison at AVP. In this case, the GFS appeared to be too warm at AVP. The NAM started out close, then trended too cold.
Slide 13