SPC storm-scale ensemble - 12z January 12 run
Notes:
This forecast of 6 hour precipitation from the SPC storm-scale ensemble of opportunity shows that the ensemble highlighted the Syracuse area for heaviest precipitation and snowfall through 00z on the 14th.The heaviest snow actually fell from the city to just north of the city (shown later), so this ensemble also appeared to have a slight "too-far-south" bias.
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Slide 13