SREF plume forecasts at AVP
Notes:
Plume forecasts from the short range ensemble, with a resolution of 16 km, indicated very large spread in the precipitation potential at AVP at run times from 03z on the 22nd, right up through 03z on the 23rd, which was just before precipitation was forecast to start. The forecasts were mostly much too wet, and the spread was very large.
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Slide 13