Summary

  • A complex winter storm affected central New York and northeast Pennsylvania on February 12th, 2017.
  • A mix of precipitation occurred. Dynamic cooling resulted a change from rain or freezing rain to snow in some areas.
  • High resolution model forecasts and operational model thermal profiles depicted this change-over.
  • Forecast verification from a new program developed at WFO Albany indicated generally good forecasts; some over-forecasting of snow across central and southern areas but an improved forecast as the event approached.


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