May 1 00z run – valid 21z and 00z - Probability wind > 20 kt
Notes:
Probablities of wind wind values greater than 20 kts were forecast to decrease as the line moved east. Note the much larger probabilities over the midwest. In general, this appeared to be an under-forecast of wind potential over NY and Pa especially at 00z, as widespread damaging winds occurred in NY and Pa with this event through about 03z.
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Slide 23