Event

Weak sfc low upstream

Weak short wave upstream

Thickness saturation

Max CAPE near / upstream

Bear Creek (May 28, 2002)

Yes

Yes

Exceeded: Pwat of 1.3 vs. 1.0

1800 J/kg

June 13, 2003

Yes

Yes

Exceeded: Pwat of 1.8 vs. 1.6

800 J/kg

May 12, 2003

Yes

No

Not exceeded: Pwat 1.3 vs. 1.9

1400 J/kg

Slide Links:

Speaker Notes:

There are several key similarities in the environments associated with these three events. All three events appeared to be associated with moderate instability, "skinny" CAPE, a weak low-level jet oriented perpendicular to a low-level boundary, and light, weakly sheared winds above the jet. Precipitable water values were well above normal for the season in all three events.

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