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925 and 850 mb wind and 925 mb convergence valid 03/00z |
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This 6 hour forecast of low-level wind from the 18z run of the NAM (valid at 00z on the 3rd) shows that the low-level shear south of Lake Ontario was forecast to decrease between 18z and 00z. Some convergence was forecast to persist over Lake Ontario, however the convergence was weak.