CAPE and 0-6 km shear
Notes:
This 3 hour NAM forecast valid at 21 UTC on the 26th indicates mixed-layer CAPE values above 1000 J/kg south of the warm front over central and southern New York, with values of 500 to 1000 J/kg near the warm front from the south shore of Lake Ontario through the Mohwak valley. Deep-layer shear values range from 30 kts over southern New York to over 50 kts across northern New York.
Slide 7