GFS storm track trends (courtesy of WFO CTP)
Notes:
This slide, available at http://eyewall.met.psu.edu/rich/compare/ and courtesy of the forecast office at State College, Pa, shows that the GFS was very consistent with the location of the surface low valid at 06z on the 7th. However, the intensity forecasts in many of the earlier runs was too low.
Slide 19