Model QPF and observed QPF at Syracuse
Notes:
This slide shows the performance and trends of QPF at several models valid at Syracuse for several run times leading up to the heavy snow that fell at Syracuse. In general, it appears that the GFS QPF was highest among the models, and was mostly too high. The NAM started much too low, then made a sudden jump to a wetter solution with the 00z run on the 9th. The ECMWF, SREF and a model consensus forecast trended steadily heavier as the event approached.
Slide 22