00z runs – High resolution models – Window WRF runs rating NMM = 2 rating for ARW = 2
Notes:
The high resolution window runs forecast a weak wave of convective showers moving through the area around 15z, the just isolated showers later in the afternoon. The NMM run correctly showed more coverage with the first wave. The ARW correctly showed more coverage, but not enough, with the second wave.
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Slide 15