Summary
- A significant severe weather event occurred over south-central NY and northern Pennsylvania on July 25th.
- Large-scale forcing with this event was reasonably strong for late July with a cold front and associated with mid-upper level trough.
- High resolution model forecasts varied in quality but generally improved from 00z to 12z.
- Worst forecasts were from the 00z run of the 4 km NAM, best forecasts were from the late (12z) runs of the HRRR.
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