Summary

  • The rain across the forecast area appeared to fall in four phases:

  • An initial shot of rain associated with isentropic lift, frontogenesis and reduced mid-level EPV.

  • A heavier band of rain, with embedded small-scale bands of extremely heavy rain, associated with isentropic lift, frontogenesis and reduced to negative mid-level EPV.

  • Convection associated with the cold pool aloft.

  • Light rain (and snow) associated with the cold conveyor belt.

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