The April 2-3, 2005 Flood Event
Mike Evans
Index of Slides
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The April 2-3, 2005 Flood Event
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Outline
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Antecedent Conditions
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Snow Depths on April 1
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Rainfall on March 28-29, 2005
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Model Forecasts
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NAM Model Forecast – 500 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – 500 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – 500 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – 700 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – 700 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – 700 mb
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NAM Model Forecast – Surface Pressure
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GFS Forecast – 700 mb
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GFS Forecast – surface pressure
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NAM Forecast 48 hour precipitation
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GFS Forecast 48-hour precipitation
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NAM 850 mb Theta-e advection forecast
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NAM 850 mb Theta-e advection
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NAM 850 mb Theta-e advection
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NAM Precipitable Water Forecasts
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NAM Precipitable Water Forecast
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NAM Precipitable Water Forecast
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NAM Isentropic Lift Forecast
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NAM Isentropic Lift Forecast
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NAM Isentropic Lift Forecast
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NAM frontogenesis and EPV
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NAM frontogenesis and EPV
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NAM frontogenesis and EPV
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Summary
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Observations and more model forecasts…
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Radar Mosaic
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Radar Mosaic
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Radar Mosaic
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Radar Mosaic
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Radar Mosaic
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Infrared Satellite Image and RUC 500 mb heights / vorticity
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Infrared Satellite Image and RUC 500 mb heights / vorticity
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KBGM Radar Reflectivity – 03/00 UTC.
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KBGM Radar Reflectivity and Lightning 03/08 UTC.
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Radar Mosaic
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Summary
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Omega and negative EPV 03/00 UTC.
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Omega and negative EPV 03/06 UTC.
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Time height diagram of omega and theta-e lapse rate at AVP
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Total Observed Rainfall
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River Stages at Cortland
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River Stages at Conklin
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River Stages at Waverly
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Summary and Conclusions
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