The June 6, 2005 Derecho
michael evans
Index of Slides
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The June 6, 2005 Derecho
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Outline
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Eta 3 hour forecast 500 mb heights and vorticity valid 6/6/05 15 UTC.
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Eta 9 hour forecast 500 mb heights and vorticity valid 6/6/06 21 UTC.
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Eta 3 hour forecast sea-level pressure and 1000-500 thickness valid 6/6/05 15 UTC.
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Eta 9 hour forecast sea-level pressure and 1000-500 mb thickness valid 6/6/05 21 UTC.
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Eta 6-hour surface-based CAPE and 0-3 km bulk shear valid 6/6/05 18 UTC.
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Intense squall line over northern Pennsylvania and central New York
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Cold pool effects – RKW theory
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Downwind-propagating MCS’s.
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The development of the rear-inflow jet
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How shear effects storm morphology
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Different types of MCS’s
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The Effects of storm-relative flow
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Summary… Forward propagating MCS’s are typically associated with…
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Now, lets look at the evolution and structure of the storms and environment.
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KPBZ radar reflectivity 1230 UTC.
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KPBZ radar reflectivity 1330 UTC.
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Water vapor satellite imagery at 14 UTC.
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BUF sounding at 12 UTC on 6/6/05
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Surface plot and MSAS analysis of lifted index at 14 UTC 6/6/05.
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KBGM radar reflectivity 16 UTC.
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KBGM radar storm relative motion 16 UTC
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KBGM radar velocity 16 UTC
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Eta 5 hour forecast sounding at ELM valid 6/6/05 17z.
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Eta 5 hour forecast sounding at ELM valid 6/6/05 17 UTC.
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Eta 5-hour forecast sounding at ELM, with the boundary motion, valid 17 UTC on the 6th.
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Summary
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Summary… continued
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